Archive for January, 2012

Greek Creditors Open to Bigger Haircut

January 31, 2012 by · 3 Comments
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(As written for My Paper on 31 January 2012 issue. Click here to enlarge)

After intense negotiations at the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, a deal with Greek bondholders seems imminent.

In October 2011, the bondholders agreed to take a 50% cut in the face value of their bonds, worth more than 200 billion Euros. In simple terms, this means that bondholders will only be paid 100 billion Euros once the debt matures, effectively shaving off 100 billion Euros off Greece’s debt load. Read more…

Euro Trades Squarely On News

January 17, 2012 by · 4 Comments
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(As written for My Paper on 17 January 2012 issue. Click here to enlarge)

What a week it has been for the Euro.

Mid-week, ECB chief Mario Draghi gave a press conference, stating that the bank’s policy of extending low interest loans to financial institutions had been successful in stabilizing the region’s credit markets.

Proof of his statement was seen in the recent Spanish and Italian bond auctions, which saw solid demand for their respective paper. In fact, Spain had doubled the size of their offering.

This caused the EUR/USD to rally to 1.2879 on Friday.

However, the party came to an abrupt halt late last week when news about the S&P downgrade of top European nations hit the wire. Read more…

US Likely to Outperform Europe in H1

January 10, 2012 by · 4 Comments
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(As written for My Paper for 10 January 2012 issue. Click here to enlarge)

It’s good to be back in the currency market after a three week break.

For my first article of 2012, let’s take a snap-shot of the world’s biggest economies to see how they fared for 2011. This can give us excellent insight into how they might perform at the start of 2012.

According to the list by the International Monetary Fund for 2011, the top 3 economies (by country) are as follows:

1. USA: USD 15.06 trillion

2. China: USD 6.99 trillion

3. Japan: USD 5.86 trillion

Read more…